The
Monte Carlo Model is like rolling dice – a game of chance where each move can
lead to different outcomes. That’s where the Monte Carlo model comes in, not as
a casino game, but as your strategic partner, helping you navigate through the
uncertainties of life.
Understanding the Monte Carlo Model
Imagine
you have a set of dice, and you’re rolling them again and again. The Monte
Carlo model is a bit like that. It doesn’t predict the future, but it helps you
see what might happen based on all the different ways the dice can land.
Applications
in Everyday Terms
Picking the Winning Mix:
Lets
say you want to make a smoothie called ‘making an investment’ in a bank and you
want to know the best ingredients. Lord Monte Carlo will help you pick the best
ingredients that will most likely make the most delicious smoothie by
predicting which ingredients are likely to taste better and which may not taste
great.
Navigating Life’s Rollercoaster:
Investing
and Life have one thing in common, they can both be a bit like a rollercoaster.
Monte Carlo helps you understand how different twists and turns might play out
in your decisions, giving you a sort of roadmap for the ride. So you have a
good chance of where there is smooth sailing, where there might be a drop and
where you might end up upside down. Yikes!
Setting Up Safety Nets:
Imagine
walking on a tightrope, balancing your decisions. Lord Monte Carlo acts like a
safety net, who will help you balance confidently as he can predict the
different outcomes and set up a safety net for you. You can learn to be a pro
like Dick Grayson at rope walking or not, maybe?
Beyond
Decision-Making: Monte Carlo in Layman’s Terms
Bouncing Dice and Predicting Outcomes:
Picture
a pair of dice bouncing around. Monte Carlo helps scientists and engineers
predict how these dice (things like particles or molecules) might behave in
different situations and give out a different number each time. So you can sort
of be like Alan from the ‘Hangover’ franchise or maybe you are more of a James
Bond at ‘Casino Royale’ kind of a guy!
Rolling the Dice for Project Success:
Planning
a big project is like rolling dice. Monte Carlo helps project managers see the
chances of everything going smoothly – hitting deadlines, staying on budget,
and managing resources effectively and all the other shenanigans.
Challenges
and Limitations
Juggling the Possibilities:
Can you juggle? Well you better learn to cos figuring out the
chances of different things happening can be a bit tricky for the Monte
Carlo model. Uncle Monte Carlo is like that control freak that tries to ‘Plan
every outcome in life’ but it is not very well at handling the
uncertainties that Life throws your way.
Assuming Tomorrow’s Weather Based on Today’s:
It’s a bit like assuming tomorrow’s weather will be like today’s.
Sometimes things change, and Uncle Monte Carlo may fall short of not
catching all the surprises.
Conclusion
In
simple terms, the Monte Carlo model is like having a set of dice that doesn’t
predict your rolls but helps you make better choices by exploring all the
possible outcomes. So, sorry but you are not gonna be James
Bond in a Casino anytime soon or Alan from Hangover . It’s not a crystal ball
that will tell the future of the ‘chosen one’ but it sure helps you roll through life’s
uncertainties with a bit more strategy and a lot more confidence! Its kind of
like Batman’s ‘Prep time’ in a way , only thing is just like Batman you also
have to be Ready for the uncertainties in your plan .
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1.1 AC 1.1 Explain the importance of strategic human resource management in organizations Strategic human resource management is related to the development of human resources strategies in synchronization with the mission, vision and objectives of an organization in a way such that the organization’s goals are accomplished. An organization should have the ability to frame such human resource strategies which will enhance the overall productivity of the organization (Durai 2010) . The strategic human resource management in Tesco has been like the backbone of the company in achieving success at the time of diversification into different sectors for business activities. The organization through its strategic HRM has been able to develop its business embedded with technical expertise, integrity and customer oriented globally (MacLachlan 2009) . For developing a vibrant strategic linkage of human resource with its corporate strategy the company had designed a transformational coaching programme for the growth and capability development of its mangers followed by an effective feedback procedure. The programme aimed at communicating business priorities of the organization to its personnel and building effective leaders as its competitive advantage (Churchard 2010) . In order to augment the customer value the organization invests highly on recruitment, employee’s training and infrastructures (TESCO 2012) . Tesco maintains a healthy relation with its union partner and believes in employee’s participative decision making process for the accomplishment of organizational goals (Wilton 2010) . With a change in organizational culture Dell has been able to build a strong position in the market. The company shifted its focus from just attaining growth to talent management, leadership building and framed global vision (Scott 2006) . Dell strives for building a competitive strategy for becoming a low cost player in the market. To have an alignment with
its business strategy the company renders its human resource services with the help of technology that is through web. Through the company’s intranet its HR team have been able to carry out various HR activities with the help of a variety of web applications such as hiring applications or tools, management reports, automatic employee reference system, updating of employee’s information to cite a few. This has helped the organization to increase the performance of its employees in many ways such as development in productivity, self-service, outsourcing as well as self-service. Along with these the company has been also able to reduce its cost of carrying out human resource operations as less manpower is required in performing automated activities and it is less time consuming as well (Gary & Varkkey 2010) .
1.2 AC 1.2 Assess the purpose of strategic human resource management activities in an organization (Siemens case study) The key purpose of developing a strategic human resource management is to have an alignment between the human resource strategies and organization’s business strategies. Such integration will help an organization in attaining sustainable competitive advantage. Integration in human resource signifies an alignment between the human resource policies and the policies of other business operations in an organization such as finance, informational technology, marketing, production to cite a few (Vedd 2003) . However, the purpose of designing a strategic human resource management is not only having an integration between HR and corporate strategy rather the aim is also to have an integration between decisions regarding the organization’s personnel with the expected output of the organization. An organization need to align human resource management with the corporate planning system, focus on the human resource activities that will help in the accomplishment of organizational goals and should undertake actions that will help in building strong personnel-management relationships (Dhar 2008) .
The main purpose of Siemens behind designing a strategic human resource management is to meet global challenges. Siemens operates in highly competitive technological market which is continuously developing which makes it imperative for the organization to have an effective HR strategy so as to develop and grow its personnel on continuous basis through frequent trainings. Various trainings imparted by the organization are like class room training, apprenticeship training to cite a few. The organization also organizes management development and education program so as to keep its employees up to date regarding the changing market trends and requirements. Siemens encourages global team work as part of its human resource strategy. The employees in the organization are expected to understand work and perform across every departments, disciplines and regions. The main purpose of Siemens behind such strategy is to enable its employees to handle multiple responsibilities in the global market and infuse a feeling of oneness and a vital part of corporate among its employees. In order to compete in the global market Siemens also redesigned its performance management system which constitutes of assessing its employee’s performance on regular basis followed by an effective feedback system. This will help its employees to augment their competencies and potentiality. The management will also be in a position to identify the existing competency gap and the remedial measures that needed to be taken to bridge such gap. The organization believes that in order to attain long term growth and increase shareholder value it is inevitable to build a motivated and satisfied human resource pool. Therefore Siemens provides career development and growth opportunities, fair compensation benefits, cordial work culture to cite a few to its employees by developing a strategic human resource policies and practices. This will in turn help the organization to prosper in the market. To gain success in the global market it is vital for an organization to have an effective cultural diversity management system. Therefore Siemens promotes a culture of transparency, openness and fairness in its organization to deal with the culturally diversified workforce in its system (Bhatia 2005) .
1.3 AC 1.3 Evaluate the contribution of strategic human resource management to the achievement of an organization’s objectives (Siemens case study) Siemens has repositioned as well as redesigned its organizational and human resource strategy which contributed significantly in meeting the business objectives. Siemens has divided its business strategy into organizational strategy and human resource strategy in which human resource strategy has been framed in alignment with the organizational strategy. While the business strategy of the organization was framed to augment the organization’s capabilities, the human resource strategy was framed in a way to guide the actions of the organization’s personnel and maximize the human potentialities so as to achieve competitive advantage. For an effective execution of human strategy the company has divided human resource activities into design and consulting services, service centres and strategy. The service centre of human resource is concerned with carrying out daily human resource functions effectively. The strategy and design division of human resource is responsible for conducting an external environmental analysis. Based on such analysis the group is expected to carry out the human resource activities such as recruitment, communications, and appraisal to cite a few in a way so as to have a considerable contribution on the organizational success. The consulting service group provides guidance to the organization in respect to the formation and implementation of organizational strategies (Chanda 2007) . The human resource strategy of Siemens consists of imparting frequent training and education to its personnel which is based as per the business requirements of the company for building and developing competencies of its employees globally. This strategy acts as a pillar of global success for the company (Siemens 2015a) . To have a strategic recruitment process
8 Siemens PLM software has strategic affiliation with various organizations to build up the future engineers, technologists and leaders. By this way Siemens will be able to recruit highly skilled and qualified personnel in future which will in turn enhance the quality of business of the organization hence leading to success (Siemens 2015c) . Siemens had realized that recruiting right candidate, imparting training and retaining talent is imperative to achieve success. Siemens therefore to have a valuable top-notch recruitment, compensation, employee development, performance evaluation and retention process to cite a few globally collaborated with the success factors solution. With these the organization has been able to standardize and integrate its human resource process. Collaboration with success factors solutions has enabled the organization to have global insight for growth and human resource planning. Through these cross border managers are being able to exchange information globally and take quality business decisions (Siemens 2015b) .
1.4 AC 2.1 Analyse the business factors that underpin human resource planning in an organization (Either dell or tesco) Human resource planning constitutes of application of planning procedure to the human resource requirements of a firm. In order to have an effective human resource planning the plan should be linked with the operational and strategic planning process of a company (Prasad 2012) . The main objective of a human resource planning is to motivate personnel in an organization, enhance customer experience quality and focuses on enhancing creativity, commitment and development in an organization. Human resource planning enables an organization in determining the future demand for labor as well so as to meet the projected needs of an organization (Deb 2006) . Various factors related to the external environment of an organization may influence the objectives of an organization and the human resource requirements to meet the organization’s
9 objectives. Some of the factors related to the business of an organization which acts as influencing factors are like governmental control, economic circumstance of a place, and prevailing competition in the market and changes in the labor force. Governmental control includes rules and regulation framed by the state or local government. Economic condition of a place implies the recession, inflationary condition, level of employment to cite a few of a place. The prevailing competition refers to the major players or the number of exits and entry of players in the market and business that strives for absorbing the same workforce whereas changes in the labor force implies the composition of labor or supply and demand of labor in a particular market (Byars & Rue 2008) . One of the major objectives of human resource planning at Dell is to assist the organization in the accomplishment of goals and attain competitive advantage thus enabling the organization to beat various external and internal business factors. The organizational human resource planning (OHRP) process has been the key factor behind the success of Dell. The organizational human resource planning process enables Dell to forecast the demand for labour well in advance so as to augment the growth of the organization. The human resource planning process of Dell engages in identifying the vacancies for key jobs in the organization well in advance. Along with these the process also involves competency mapping which is done by measuring the performance and quality of the organization’s high performers. This enables an organization in deciding what kind of skill sets can be expected from the new recruits. The organization implements flexible deployment of its human resource personnel for an effective operation of OHRP process. During the lean time of recruitment and peak time of sales the recruitment team is deployed in the sales and customer service team to contribute in the sales of the organization (Rao 2010 ; Holzner 2006) .
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Assessment Criteria 1.1 Explain how models of organization culture can be used to achieve organizational objectives. Siemens in order to achieve its strategic and operational objectives of expansion into automation and digitization need to enhance its corporate culture as well along with other business strategies. The company can consider the various dimensions of culture as proposed by Geert Hofstede (Browaeys & Marie-Joelle, n.d.). As per Geert Hofstede there are five cultural dimensions which are: Power distance: the power distance is defined as the extent to which powers are dispersed unequally in the organization. As per these dimension Siemens need to develop a culture of cordial relationship between superiors and subordinates bridging the status gap. Managers should not be viewed as dictator by its subordinates. Individualism vs. collectivism: In case of Individualism culture employees are more self centered and maintains less interpersonal relationship with others in the organization whereas in a collectivism organizational culture group integration is of high importance. Siemens through effective training and development should try to promote group cohesiveness in the organization. Masculinity – Femininity: This dimension is related to the gender discrimination in terms of values. Siemens should maintain a balance in distribution of job roles, responsibilities and remuneration between its both male and female workers. Uncertainty Avoidance: This relates to the tolerant point of a member to face any uncertain circumstances in the organization. Siemens through its tactful operation strategy need to develop a culture of low uncertainty avoidance. Long-Term vs. Short-Term Orientation: A long term orientation values job more than customs and relations whereas organization inhibiting short term orientation values its worker and its belief system. Siemens need to be sensitive towards its organizational as well as employee’s value system.
Assessment Criteria 1.2 explain the difference between organizational and national culture Germans believe in focusing on the task assigned to them. One of the dominant issue and central part of all business interactions is the performance of the task. German culture also defines the type of communication. The relationship level takes up a more subservient role in proficient life. Additionally, there are numerous bylaws, regulations, techniques and methods in the German companies. Written agreements and contracts are preferred by the German business people. Non-compliance to these rules and regulations may invite
3 penalties and rigid consequences. Though this culture foster consistency and mutual obligation yet it leaves no room for suppleness and individual fortitude (Expatica Germany, 2014) . Siemens also follows the same corporate culture of their home country to a great extent.
(Cheng & Seeger, 2011) carried out a study to assess the corporate culture of two different countries and find out whether the incompatible cultures may lead to synergy effect or not. He found out that understanding of cross culture is indispensable for mergers and acquisitions. Siemens is considered as the model of German engineering expertise. It has long-standing custom of worker synchronization and influential employee’s assemblies. Siemens also follows the German pattern of following standard operating procedures and processes. Moreover, Siemens observes a systematic process for decision-making and lay emphasis on detailing and performing task in order assigned.
As per the report of (CGMA, 2014) , Siemens have executed transparency in their meetings by encouraging uncluttered debates on moral issues and the ways to handle them. Such unambiguousness includes the exterior reportage of obedience linked progresses (Passport to trade 2.0, 2014a) stated that the Germans have inclination to be extra casual about time and constantly make certain they can manage time for the purpose of marketing. It also asserted that Germans are culturally aware and they have anticipations that others should understand them as an independent country. They are straightforward in their language and interpersonal communications in the organizations are largely belligerent and emphatic. Hinner (2009) stated in Cheng et al (2011) that Germans think that trivial talks are spoiling time activity as it has nothing to do with the work they are doing. German executives tend to offer their views in more of an argumentative style and open vocal belligerence appear to be endured more in the German society.
Germans observes low degree of flexibility and spontaneity in attitudes and values. They have clear demarcation between the things and people which enable them to live an organised life. Unexpected changes in the transactions in the business are not welcomed by them even if it is beneficial for them and they abhor absurdity in business as they take it very seriously. Moreover, colleagues do not require or presume to be admired is the corporate culture of Germans (Passport to trade 2.0, 2014b) . Siemens observes the culture of maintaining quality in their organization. Executives and employees in the organization are highly motivated and work towards improving the quality standards. In addition to this, ownership and equity culture prevalent in Siemens nurture a sense of belongingness among the employees of the organization. Thus, Siemens’ culture and German culture are more or less same and quite well aligned.
Assessment Criteria 1.3 analyze the corporate cultural profile in an organization
4 Siemens is one of the most successful companies of Germany in the field of worldwide electronic market. It attained such a respectable position by delivering sustainable value to their customers (Siemens, 2005) . Siemens was formed in 1847 in Berlin by two men namely Telegraphen-Bauanstalt von Siemens & Halske. It emerged as one of the most successful and highly reputed company of Germany. Siemens attained a leading position with the invent of telegraph, dynamo and primary x-ray machine for the human beings (Simens, 2008) .
Siemens is one of the premier corporations of Germany. It is one the giant corporate in the field of electrochemical and electronics. Like any other German Export firms, Siemens AG also targeted U.S. markets. Investments in research and development have been made by Siemens aggressively. It has a remarkable position amongst companies of U.S. as the recipient of copyrights and donor to prominent American universities and academies for co-operative research plans. It’s because of qualified German public and training system which facilitated in essential human capital required by Siemens to be at leading position in highly competitive electrochemical industry (Siemens, 2009) . As per the report of (IBEF, 2013) , Siemens is international participant in integrated circuit technology, engineering and electronics. A SMART strategy was launched by the company in 2009 focussing on affordability, reliability timeliness and maintenance free perspectives of the products. Additionally, the company transformed from being workforce-centric from consumer-centric. The company claims of having highly contended employees. Siemens stands as the largest technology company of the world. It has made many technological modernizations in the areas of power, healthcare, engineering and substructure (Siemens, 2014b) . One of the key strategic step taken by Siemens is the localization which is the key behind is success all over the world. Strategic initiatives taken by Siemens and launching at appropriate time, emphasis on the workforce and escalating sales channels leads to the prosperity of the company (SMC, 2015) . Compliance with the internal and external rules and regulations of the company is required for the achieving full social potential of corporate responsibility. Observing compliance with the law and regulation is seen as the part of their self-image and corporate culture by Siemens. The company finds the need to outlook acquiescence as a face of their corporate values and as fragment of a dynamic company and administrative culture. This modification is buttressed by the Compliance Program of Siemens, which is alienated into the following three mainstays: Prevent, Detect and Respond (Siemens, 2013c) . Siemens is of the view that a company cannot reap the benefits of its outstanding strategies if they lack in strong culture. The company therefore aims towards fostering ownership culture which encourage every employee of the organization to strive towards long term success of the company (Siemens, 2014b) . Siemens has a culture of strict adherence to company policies and values. The analysis also provided that the company lays high emphasis on duly complying with its corporate social responsibility. In addition to this,
customers are the most important stakeholder in company’s culture. But there are inherent loopholes in the company relating to leadership gaps and communication gaps. Assessment Criteria 1.4 Discuss the impact of an organization’s corporate culture in achieving its objectives An organization’s cultural climate has significant impact on the way it attains its objectives in the short-run and long-run. Siemens aims at customer satisfaction, quality maintenance, strict policy adherence and stakeholder development (Siemens, 2011) . As per the report of (Siemens, 2011) , the quality culture prevailing in the organization pay emphasis on the customer as the key factor for the continuous success of the organization. They are keen in incessant enhancement of their quality as a part of their top priority. A satisfied customer is fundamental to success of any organization. He expects the quality for the price paid by him. In Siemens, executives are aware of importance of maintaining quality and workforce are categorized by their extraordinary mind-set of quality control. Managers of Siemens are of view that success of their organization is reliant on their inventive fortes and exceptional quality of their merchandises and solutions. In the report presented by (Siemens, 2014b) , the ownership culture is widespread in the organization which is responsible for the sustainable business practices prevalent in the company. In Siemens, every individual assumes that fulfilling his or her responsibility is imperative for the success of the company. Right from the board of director to trainee embrace the culture to treat the company as of their own and act accordingly. The company rely on strong culture for its long term success and believe that worker stakeholders perform sensibly and are focused on to the long term when they unswervingly contribute in their company’s achievement. People oriented approach adopted by Siemens nurtures diversity of experience and expertise and is reflected in their success and they have versatile workforce which through their knowledge and expertise strive for high productivity and profits. Siemens believe the company is obliged that it has employees that identify with the organization and are highly committed towards the positive development of the company. The equity culture is prevalent in organization which fosters the sense of belongingness and responsibility towards the organization. Siemens believes this culture to be decisive for the long term success of the company (Siemens, 2014a) . Assessment Criteria 2.1evaluate the existing climate of an organization Organizational climate is defined as the perception of an employee regarding an organization’s policies, values, practices, behavior and environment to cite a few. A crucial relation lies between organizational climate and individual’s performance and behavior (Srivastava, 2005) . Siemens global business strategy of sustainability forms the core aspect of its internal and external organizational climate. Siemens internal organizational climate is build of integrity in its business operations as it follows legal and ethical code of conduct in dealing with internal as well as external business partners.
6 The company maintains ethical standards in its financial activities as well. Siemens have got employees from different cultural background and the company manages diversity through imparting effective training and development program, maintaining a non discriminative attitude towards employees from other nations and providing equitable rights to both men and women (Siemens, 2013b) . The company discharges its social responsibility towards its employees and society by following policy for environmental protection, health management and occupational safety in its business activities (Siemens, 2013b) . To enhance employee’s welfare in the organization Siemens extended the maternity leave period from 120 days to 180 days in 2011 and also adopted work from home policy for employees in 2013 where employees could work from home once per week (Siemens, 2013b) . The company also provides its employees an opportunity to purchase company’s stock. It spent around dollar 42.4 million in 2013 for training and development program to enhance employee’s skill and maintain high performance culture. It also introduced leadership development program to build future leaders for beating global challenges. Siemens was honored as among the Best Companies in People Management practices in 2013 (Siemens, 2013b) . Siemens external organizational climate framework is build of maintaining cordial relationship with its various stakeholders. It provides superior customized service to its customers globally. It maintains amicable relation with its investors by providing quarterly reports, annual reports and other relevant information timely. In order to augment relation with suppliers globally it imparts training to enhance suppliers skills free of cost. Siemens also maintains close contacts with the government, policy makers and other administrators for its organization interests (Sustainability Report, n.d.) . As per the report of (Simenes, 2007) , there are few companies in the world that boasts a long tradition and a corporate culture. Siemens is of one them where management of the organization take due care of the social responsibility while making any corporate decisions. Ever since the company was founded, it has always been committed towards transferring its legacy to the next generation. The company’s culture exhibits itself as a fellow of society and that they are modelling upcoming era not only with their inventions, but also with their instruction and on-going edification. Since long, enduring discourses with inner and outer groups of investors is inevitable part of corporate culture of the organization. Siemens corporate culture encompasses unbiased radical posture, admiring liberty of outlook and regarding the encountered diversity in their overseas undertakings as enrichment of their business as well as corporate culture. Assessment Criteria 2.2 Recommend ways to improve corporate climate in an organization Siemens, the engineering giant manufacturing organization in German faced a scandal in 2006 against bribery. Employees in the organization were accused of paying bribes in millions of Euros to the officials in order to gain contracts from large organizations and even government around the globe. Due to this business irresponsibility and unethical act Siemens lost its creditability and goodwill in front of its investors, employees and society as a whole. The organization was declared incompetent in handling business affairs. As a response to the scandal and to maintain integrity Siemens appointedexternal investigators from New
7 York law firm to carry out a rigorous internal audit in the firm. After the audit process several reasons popped out which were held responsible for the scandal to take place such as a belligerent expansion strategy adopted by the organization due to which employees began to perceive that bribery is a part of the corporate climate to achieve tough performance targets and meet business objectives, complex organizational structure and poor quality of accounting system (Graham & Gillespie, 2012) . Poor leadership quality of the managers in Siemens was one of the greatest reasons for such scandal to take place. In order to enhance the corporate climate Siemens can follow some of the recommendations as cited (George Bradt, 2013) . Siemens need to change its corporate culture and environment due to its rigorous expansion objectives in order to sustain its competitive advantage. Employees in the organization need to be adaptable to organization’s cultural changes which can be developed by imparting effective training and education. Employees should be clearly communicated regarding the company’s value system vital to achieve present and future organization’s success where there should not be any place for unethical behavior. Employees need to develop a responsible and positive attitude towards organization’s culture and enhance skills to maintain good relations with the organization’s various stakeholders such as customers, investors to cite a few. Above all the organization need to conduct effective learning and development session for leadership development in the organization. Employees at all level need to possess a leadership quality to decide upon right and wrong and to meet the business objectives responsibly and ethically. Assessment Criteria 2.3 propose a framework of organizational values that meet the specific strategic and operational needs of an organization The strategic and operational objective of Siemens is to expand into the world of automation and digitization after electrification (The Economists, 2014) . The company aims to reduce the existing bureaucracy in its organization, develop and expand business portfolio and implement projects more efficiently (The Economists, 2014) . In order to meet its objectives the organization has plans to undergo a change in organizational structure with a reduction in number of group divisions and downsizing of employees followed by redeployment of few staffs. Along with a change in organizational structure Siemens believes that a change in organizational culture is essential for effective expansion and operation of business portfolios (The Economists, 2014) . A change in organizational culture would mean a need to introduce new competing organizational value framework to meet the global challenges and change management (Cameron, 2006) . Leaders in the organization need to undertake the responsibility of building value system and diffusing the same into the employees of the firm. Signifying values forms a pillar for any strategic and operational decisions. Values once framed, understood and followed speeds up the business activities and decisions (Madhavan, n.d.) .
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